Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 10.328213 11.909107 13.605867 15.557153 17.733702 20.081347 22.799416
2025-08-24 7.892745 9.958585 12.337389 15.258953 18.728980 22.696636 27.552900
2025-08-31 6.306727 8.544422 11.266132 14.779989 19.152363 24.367732 31.008241
2025-09-07 5.408289 7.780584 10.800705 14.862178 20.108175 26.577748 35.071682
2025-09-14 4.691995 7.130375 10.365201 14.875873 20.895314 28.535155 38.830848
2025-09-21 4.170729 6.663937 10.097190 15.041701 21.832174 30.668475 42.846817
2025-09-28 3.686269 6.182518 9.745063 15.034830 22.496656 32.432971 46.411352
2025-10-05 3.391171 5.939737 9.694079 15.419622 23.685564 34.912238 50.983825
2025-10-12 3.103029 5.670738 9.571437 15.674637 24.681835 37.144762 55.279174
2025-10-19 2.810301 5.358748 9.350232 15.754596 25.410539 39.012543 59.115353
2025-10-26 2.446452 4.886105 8.835352 15.344476 25.382696 39.791103 61.434007
2025-11-02 2.154142 4.500297 8.420742 15.049645 25.492481 40.746654 64.007285
2025-11-09 1.886163 4.129183 8.001953 14.722872 25.540295 41.620983 66.511114
2025-11-16 1.657924 3.802879 7.628000 14.437044 25.626027 42.540978 69.097865
2025-11-23 1.431622 3.450149 7.173947 13.979510 25.403435 42.971656 70.954422
2025-11-30 1.309205 3.288508 7.044177 14.058011 26.037278 44.715946 74.813620
2025-12-07 1.190855 3.119847 6.885394 14.071092 26.556194 46.290091 78.450133
2025-12-14 1.102299 3.003530 6.813603 14.229491 27.317074 48.259025 82.737109
2025-12-21 1.003346 2.850955 6.657889 14.222928 27.792184 49.782671 86.368634
2025-12-28 0.953372 2.804318 6.705874 14.590533 28.919293 52.378486 91.735974
2026-01-04 0.894623 2.729267 6.689628 14.834200 29.836388 54.656431 96.654951
2026-01-11 0.825077 2.618438 6.589889 14.910606 30.457543 56.463505 100.865223
2026-01-18 0.721978 2.407399 6.260108 14.518738 30.220677 56.838918 102.780921